Johnson's Russia List 2007-#264
28 December 2007
From: Andrei Tsygankov
Subject: From Russia With No Love Left
In 2007, Russia made it clear that it seeks greater stakes in the international
system
and would no longer accept the status of a West’s junior partner it was during
the
1990s. Beginning with Putin’s speech at the Munich Conference on Security
Policy, Russia grew extremely critical of U.S. “unilateralism.” Russia’s
president then accused the United States of "disdain for the basic principles of
international law" and having
"overstepped its national borders in . . . the economic, political, cultural and
educational policies it imposes on other nations."
Sharp emotional rebukes from Moscow continued throughout the year. In July Putin objected the American democracy promotion rhetoric that resembled to him the way colonialists had talked a hundred years earlier about how the white man needed to “civilize ‘primitive peoples’.” In his address on the anniversary of the defeat of Nazi Germany on May 9, 2007 president of Russia denounced "disrespect for human life, claims to global exclusiveness and dictate, just as it was in the time of the Third Reich." And in his recent interview to the Time magazine, Putin said “the United States only needs subjects who can be ordered around” and “that is the reason why we and everybody else are being told, No, they can be slapped and chided a bit because they are not quite civilized, they are a bit savage, they only came down from the trees a short while ago. So we should clean them up a bit, - they can't do it by themselves, - give them a shave, wash the dirt off them. That’s our civilising mission." Although some observers have interpreted Putin’s rhetoric as a pragmatic response to Russia’s nationalistic public, his feelings are genuine and deserve a close attention.
The Russia’s new assertive foreign policy stance is only partly driven by high
energy
prices and the country’s international behavior is unlikely to return to that of
the
1990s, should the world experience a sudden drop in oil prices. More than
anything, the new Kremlin’s emotional response is a product of the Washington
global regime change policy and the interactive nature of the US-Russia
relations. The United States’ typical emotions toward Russia are those of the
world’s hegemon – impatience and frustration with the vassal’s “uncooperative”
or “unhelpful” attitude toward various international issues, as well as lack of
progress in building Western-style democratic institutions. The flip side of
this frustration is fear that makes some American and European observers to
interpret the Kremlin’s new foreign policy as a vindication of their old
suspicions about Russia’s imperialist and anti-Western culture.
At this point, many Russians no
longer care about not getting love from the West. They
feel humiliated by the situation when Russia was ignored and had to swallow the
war in
the Balkans, two rounds of NATO expansion, the U.S. withdrawal from the ABM
treaty, U.S. military presence in Central Asia, the invasion of Iraq, plans to
deploy elements of nuclear missile defense in Eastern Europe, as well as
constant attempts by the media to implicate Russia as a potential enemy. The
sense of humiliation and defiance is widely shared across the Russian society
and the elites. Humiliation is a sensitive subject, and most face saving
politicians prefer not to articulate their frustration with the United States in
public. Still some do, as did leading Russian politician Vladimir
Yakunin. Responding to the German magazine Der Spriegel’s question “What should
the West do?”, Yakunin said: “It should not humiliate us. You can throw a bucket
of cold water on Russians, and we can take it. But one shouldn't humiliate us!
The political scientist Hans Morgenthau said that countries should not forget
the national interests of other countries when defining their own. The current
American government becomes irritated over every attempt on the part of a
country to go its own way – especially when it is as big and wealthy as Russia.
That's political arrogance.”
By now, it should be well understood that Russians are prepared to go far to
change the situation of humiliation. For the third time during the last fifteen
years, they feel
betrayed by the West – first due to the broken promise given to Mikhail
Gorbachev not to expand NATO, second being denied a greater integration into
Western institutions under Boris Yeltsin, and now in response to breakup of the
post-9/11 coalition. Although Russia was well-prepared to improve its ties with
the United States and Europe during Putin’s first term, the Kremlin could not
sacrifice Russia’s interests and great power status and its attitude soon
toughened in response to behavior of the West. If Russia is not heard this time,
its desperation may turn into a conscientious effort to sabotage the United
States’ policies as a way to preserve a room to maneuver. As Max Weber said, “A
nation forgives injury to its interests, but not injury to its honor.”