It is clear that the label, political Independents,
is at times a catch-all category for various political dispositions. Dennis
offers four types of such people based on attitudinal antecedents. Weisberg
shows that at least some people who identify themselves as political Independents
lie in a separate dimension from partisans. This paper (1) parses out a
category that will be called strong Independents, (2) presumes that their
political understanding may be significantly different from Democrats or
Republicans, and (3) examines that presumption in terms of one's negative
versus positive political orientation, comparing strong partisans to strong
Independents.
The category of strong Independents identified
is less general than that used by Weisberg and Dennis. The 1980 ANES offers
unique data drawn from a battery of questions on the meanings of partisan
affiliation. From that data, expectations regarding the positive versus
negative motivation of strong Independents, strong Republicans, and strong
Democrats are assessed using logistic regression.
The results reveal a positively-dominated
orientation for strong Republicans and strong Democrats. Strong Independents
are explained by both positive and negative dispositions. The findings
carry implications for potential third party efforts as well as for Democratic
or Republican co-optation efforts. That is, an Independent who values autonomy
may be durably disposed away from all parties. An Independent who dislikes
a party, on the other hand, may be simply lacking a good citizen-party
match. Parties may be able to change in order to attract the latter type,
while it is less clear that any change would attract the former.